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Imaging, Diagnosis, Prognosis |
Authors' Affiliations: 1 Duke Institute for Genome Sciences and Policy, Departments of 2 Molecular Genetics and Microbiology, 3 Surgery, 4 Radiation Oncology, and 5 Medicine, Duke University Medical Center, 6 Institute of Statistics and Decision Sciences, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina
Requests for reprints: Holly Dressman, Duke Inst. for Genome Sciences & Policy, Box 3382, Durham, NC 27710. Phone: 919-668-1583; Fax: 919-681-8973; E-mail: dress002{at}mc.duke.edu.
| Abstract |
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Experimental Design: Tissue was collected under ultrasound guidance from patients with stage IIB/III breast cancer before four cycles of neoadjuvant liposomal doxorubicin paclitaxel chemotherapy combined with local whole breast hyperthermia. Gene expression analysis was done using Affymetrix U133 Plus 2.0 GeneChip arrays.
Results: Gene expression patterns were identified that defined the phenotypes of inflammatory breast cancer as well as tumor hypoxia. In addition, molecular signatures were identified that predicted the persistence of malignancy in the axillary lymph nodes after neoadjuvant chemotherapy. This persistent lymph node signature significantly correlated with disease-free survival in two separate large populations of breast cancer patients.
Conclusions: Gene expression signatures have the capacity to identify clinically significant features of breast cancer and can predict which individual patients are likely to be resistant to neoadjuvant therapy, thus providing the opportunity to guide treatment decisions.
Hypoxia results in cellular responses and is another risk-related phenotype that plays roles in tumor development, progression, and therapy responsiveness (2, 3). Tumor oxygenation plays an important role in altered gene expression, multidrug resistance, tumor cell invasiveness, angiogenesis, and metastasis (4). Tumor hypoxia has been shown to be of prognostic and predictive value in several clinical trials involving radiation, chemotherapy, and surgery for various tumor types (58).
The heterogeneity of breast cancer presents an enormous challenge to the goal of customizing therapy for the individual patient. Therapy customization is essential to improving efficacy, limiting unnecessary treatment-related morbidity, and ultimately, eliminating unnecessary treatment. A woman diagnosed with early-stage breast cancer will undergo surgery for removal of the tumor and then typically will be treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. Nevertheless, a number of such women then unnecessarily receive potentially toxic chemotherapy.
The use of genomic data offers the potential to guide treatment options by improving risk assessments and identifying patients likely resistant to standard therapies. To address the latter, we developed gene expression data from prospectively collected pretreatment breast cancer biopsies from patients in a neoadjuvant chemotherapy trial. The resulting data were evaluated and generated molecular signatures predictive of response to chemotherapy, and, in parallel, characterizing both IBC features and the presence of tumor hypoxia, as assessed independently using polarographic electrodes with ultrasound guidance for probe placement (9). Further analysis evaluated the treatment response signature on microarray data from primary breast tumors arising from two separate, distinct and large retrospective studies. The ultimate goal in examining these molecular signatures (quantitative prognostic phenotypes and predictors of chemotherapy sensitivity) is to establish gene expression variables that will ultimately lead to improved outcomes and avoidance of unnecessary therapy in breast cancer.
| Materials and Methods |
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Microarray analysis. This study involved a total of 37 evaluable patients from which pretreatment biopsies were obtained to allow gene expression analysis. All 37 tissue samples were sectioned and determined to contain at least 60% invasive disease throughout the core sample before RNA harvesting. RNA was prepared, probe generated, and used for hybridization to Affymetrix U133 Plus 2.0 GeneChip arrays (http://www.affymetrix.com/products/arrays/specific/hgu133plus.affx). Expression was calculated using the robust multiarray average algorithm (13) implemented in the Bioconductor (http://www.bioconductor.org) extensions to the R statistical programming environment (14). Robust multiarray average generates a background-corrected and quantile-normalized measure of expression (15) on the log 2 scale of measurement. Expression estimates from the arrays of 37 tumor samples were then screened to identify genes (in reality, probe sets) showing some evidence of more than trivial variation across samples above noise levels. Specifically, we removed probe sets showing normalized expression levels varying at least 1.5-fold across the 37 samples, and whose maximum level among the 37 exceeded the 60% percentile of all data values. Thus, the reduced probe set consisted of 24,134 transcripts that were candidate predictors used in the regression model analysis.
Determination of tumor oxygenation status. Tumor oxygenation measurements were done under sterile conditions using local anesthetic immediately before the planned tumor core biopsies using a polarographic device (Eppendorf Netheler Hinz, GmbH, Hamburg, Germany). This technique has been described previously (10). Briefly, an anode is placed on patient's skin and polarized with a constant voltage of 700 mV. The polarographic needle electrode (cathode) consists of a 12-µm-diameter gold filament, which is embedded within a 300-µm-diameter flexible stainless steel housing. The opening is covered by an oxygen-permeable membrane. Electrical current is generated that is proportional to the tissue oxygen pressure at the tip of the electrode. Polarographic electrodes were calibrated before and after the measurements in phosphate buffered normal saline with 100% nitrogen and room temperature. Location of tumor, assessment of tumor size, and the depth from the skin surface to the peripheral edge of the tumor was determined using ultrasonography by a board certified mammographic radiologist (E.R.). After determining and marking the insertion site, skin overlying the site was cleansed with betadine and anesthetized with 2 % lidocaine. Under direct visual control, a 16-gauge needle was inserted and placed at the edge of tumor. Insertion of the pO2 needle electrode was done under direct ultrasound guidance. The total measurement path was adjusted according to the tumor size; thus, the measurements were only done in tumor tissue. The probe was automatically advanced forward in steps of 0.7 mm and subsequent backward step of 0.3 mm with the net increments of 0.4 mm. A mean of 180 measurements was made per tumor. At the end of the measurement path, the probe was automatically withdrawn from the tissue. Hypoxia was defined as a median pO2 of <10 mm Hg.
Determination of IBC status. Patients had their initial presentation recorded as either having IBC or not. IBC was defined as erythema involving at least 30% of the breast and the presence of subcutaneous edema. In addition, pretreatment pathologic specimens (skin must have been present on the original tumor biopsy or a separate skin punch biopsy was done) were required to have evidence of dermal lymphatic tumor cell involvement.
Determination of lymph node involvement. All patients enrolled on the study had a formal pathologic review of their diagnostic biopsy as well as tissue obtained at the time of definitive surgery. Twenty of 37 evaluable patients had pathologic confirmation (FNA/core biopsy), and 10 of 37 evaluable patients had clinical confirmation of axillary involvement before the initiation of therapy. No patients underwent prechemotherapy axillary lymph node dissection. At the time of the diagnostic surgical procedure, all patients underwent a standard lymph node dissection with a median number of 12 (range, 9-25) lymph nodes removed. Each lymph node removed was examined using both H&E staining as well as cytokeratin staining (AE1/AE3: Zymed Laboratories, South San Francisco, CA; Cam 5.2: Becton Dickinson, Franklin Lakes, NJ).
Statistical analysis. Statistical analysis of the gene expression data evaluated binary logistic regression models to predict, in three separate analyses, the clinical states: IBC (yes/no), hypoxia (yes/no), and treatment response (yes/no). In each of the three analyses, very many individual binary regression models were generated and evaluated, each based on a set of genes selected from the filtered set of 24,134. The analysis evaluated large numbers of such individual regression models using stochastic search methods implemented on a cluster computer to rapidly search the space of such subsets. This analysis method has been previously used in a similar study in brain cancer genomics in exploring subsets of gene expression predictors in a linear regression format (16). See also ref. (17) for statistical details. In each of the three analyses here, a number of regression models involving a small number of genes were identified. The Bayesian statistical analysis penalizes larger numbers heavily, to address both the need for parsimonious models when dealing with limited sample sizes, but also critically, to automatically and appropriately avoid the false discovery propensity when searching across so many potential predictive models due to the large number of genes available as candidate predictors. In each of the three studies, a resulting set of binary regression models was generated this way, each model having an associated approximate probability based on its fit to the data. The practical relevance of the analysis was evaluated by cross-validation prediction, repeatedly performing the analysis with each tumor held out, to define leave-one-out predictions of the outcomes. For each leave-one-out case, overall predictions are based on averaging across the set of regression models identified and weighed. Further analysis explored small sets of genes identified as relevant in the more highly scoring regression models for each of the three clinical outcomes. The resulting three sets of genes (reported in results) were also analyzed to define principal component (metagene) summaries of expression useful for visual presentation.
| Results |
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Gene expression profiles that characterize IBC. Our initial focus was on the identification of genes that have the capacity to discriminate tumors with the IBC phenotype. Within the study population, a total of 37 patients were ascertained, and 14 were positive for the phenotype of IBC. Two of the 14 patients (14%) had expression of the estrogen receptor, and 8 of 14 (57%) had amplification of the Her-2 gene. An expression profile that was selected to discriminate the IBC phenotype is depicted in Fig. 1A. Although there is considerable heterogeneity in the profiles, with noise and apparently only weak signatures gene by gene, the aggregate pattern that is visually apparent is predictive of phenotype as detailed below. In complex biological phenotyping problems, typified by a wide range of outcomes and states in human breast cancer, there is often little or no opportunity or relevance for single-gene or simple "fold-change" evaluations. Rather, the power of gene expression is in the aggregate patterns and the derivation of relevant, predictive summaries underlying these patterns, based on regression methods or other forms of analysis of sets of genes together. Indeed, the ability of these patterns to discriminate IBC tumors is illustrated by the scatter plot shown in Fig. 1B. This shows a scatter plot of the 37 breast tumor cases according to expression levels of the two most highly weighed genes (AKR1B10 and CALML4 are those two genes receiving the highest probability of inclusion in regression models predicting IBC) together with a metagene (the first principal component) underlying the set of 22 genes appearing in a thresholded selection of the top-scoring regression models (Table 2). IBC cases appear as red, and non-IBC cases appear as blue. Importantly, note how the metagene separates IBC from non-IBC cases. The overall validity of the set of regressions was evaluated by cross-validation prediction, where the analysis is repeatedly done in a leave-one-out context, with the tumor left out then being predicted based on the set of models defined and weight by the analysis of the remaining samples. These validations show the capacity of the gene expression patterns to identify samples with the IBC phenotype (Supplementary Fig. 1).
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Gene expression profiles that characterize tumor hypoxia. We next evaluated the gene expression data for evidence of patterns that might reflect the state of tumor hypoxia. Of the 34 samples for which O2 measures were taken, 14 exhibited a hypoxia phenotype (defined as having a median pO2 < 10 mm Hg). There was no significant relationship between the presence of hypoxia and estrogen receptor or HER-2 status.
Genes that were identified in the analysis, which have the capacity to discriminate tumors with evidence of hypoxia, are depicted as an expression profile in Fig. 2A, and listed in Table 3. Similar to the IBC characterization, there is heterogeneity in the profiles, but there was also evidence of a pattern that distinguished the samples. Indeed, the ability of these patterns to discriminate hypoxic tumors is illustrated by the scatter plot shown in Fig. 2B. Scatter of the 34 breast tumor cases according to expression levels of the two most highly weighed genes (SLIC1 and EROL1 are those two genes receiving the highest probability of inclusion in regression models predicting hypoxia) together with the key predictive metagene shows clear separation of the samples. Once again, we evaluated the extent to which these patterns truly reflected the underlying distinction of hypoxia by performing leave-one-out cross-validations (Supplementary Fig. 1).
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Gene expression profiles that predict clinical response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Although the identification of gene expression profiles reflecting inflammation or hypoxia provides an opportunity to explore the underlying biology of breast cancer, an ability to predict the ultimate clinical response to neoadjuvant therapy will be of most immediate significance. Response to therapy in breast cancer can be defined in many different ways. A clinical response is usually determined by either physical exam or radiological exam (mammogram, ultrasound, or magnetic resonance imaging). Either outcome measure is somewhat imprecise, allowing for interobserver variability as well inter-technique and intra-technique inconsistencies. A pathologic response can also be defined in a number of ways. Whether defined as the absence of microscopically detected invasive disease in either the breast alone or the breast and the axillary lymph nodes, a pathologic response has been shown in a number of studies to correlate with a favorable outcome (1820). Pathologic response measures are useful as they do not suffer from the variability variables seen in determining a clinical response; however, to use pathologic response, a large number of patients are needed as complete pathologic responses with current treatments are uncommon.
We have sought to use the gene expression data to identify profiles predictive of a relevant pathologic response. Although we have also attempted to derive a signature predicting clinical response, it has not been possible to identify a clear pattern reflecting of this measure. In contrast, we have identified a pattern predictive of the persistence of positive axillary lymph nodes. Persistence of tumor in the lymph nodes has been shown in previous large studies to be the single most significant prognostic factor in disease-free survival for breast cancer (15). A total of 36 samples were available from the study to allow the development of a predictor of lymph node persistence; of these, 27 were positive for lymph node involvement and nine were negative. There was no significant relationship between persistent lymph node involvement and estrogen receptor or HER-2 status.
Similar to the analysis of IBC and hypoxia, a gene expression pattern was identified that could discriminate patient samples based on lymph node persistence (Fig. 3A). Again, there is heterogeneity in the profiles, but there was also evidence of a pattern that distinguished the samples (Fig. 3B). We also evaluated the extent to which these patterns truly reflected an ability to predict clinical outcome by performing leave-one-out cross-validations as shown in Fig. 4. The results are presented as the estimated probability that a given sample exhibits a pattern characteristic of a positive clinical response as measured by the absence of positive lymph nodes at the time of surgery. Although the analysis is limited in terms of numbers because there are only nine patients that failed to show a clinical response as seen by persistence of positive lymph nodes, the results do nevertheless indicate that gene expression data can be used to predict the clinical response.
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| Discussion |
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The value in this genomic approach is the ability to identify those patients most likely to benefit from a particular therapeutic strategy, in this case, the use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Other studies also point to the potential use of gene expression profiles as a mechanism to predict response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (21, 22). Success in this strategy does raise the important additional question of how then to treat those patients predicted to be resistant to a given therapy. Clearly, the identification of characteristics unique to the resistant patient's tumors, which can drive the development of new therapeutics specific to these tumors, will be a critical part of the overall strategy that uses genomic information to guide therapeutic decisions.
Clearly, the ability to develop a more precise and detailed description of the molecular processes underlying breast cancer phenotypes will be critical to the development of more effective treatment strategies. Two relevant examples can be seen in the analysis of IBC and hypoxia as important breast cancer phenotypes. IBC, although rare, clearly defines a subclass of the disease with very poor prognosis. Likewise, previous studies have pointed to the hypoxic state of tumors as being a significant determinant of disease outcome. Although the understanding of the hypoxia response is now quite advanced, with components of the response pathway well defined, it remains largely unclear how this phenotype, as well as the inflammatory phenotype, contributes to disease outcome. The studies we present here are an initial attempt towards a better understanding of these phenotypes, making use of gene expression profiling as a mechanism to identify additional genes that contribute to the phenotype. An analysis of the genes that classify and predict these phenotypes reveals several that are logical components of an inflammatory or hypoxic response, but many additional genes were identified whose link to these processes are unclear. Nevertheless, it is this unbiased approach to the analysis of these phenotypes, driving the gene expression profiles to reflect these biological phenotypes, which represents the power of the genomic strategy. The principal limitation at this stage of genomic profiling is the lack of integrative biology knowledge: how different pathways and processes interact within the cell to mediate a response to therapy. Understanding these connections will be key to evaluating complex phenotypes, such as IBC and the hypoxic response. However, it is the identification of genes that associate with and define each phenotype as described here, which are essential first steps towards this understanding.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact.
Note: Supplementary data for this article are available at Clinical Cancer Research Online (http://clincancerres.aacrjournals.org/).
H. Dressman and C. Hans contributed equally to this work.
Received 7/ 5/05; revised 11/ 1/05; accepted 11/16/05.
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