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Imaging, Diagnosis, Prognosis |
BRelated Serum Factors as Longitudinal Biomarkers of Response and Survival in Advanced Oropharyngeal CarcinomaAuthors' Affiliations: 1 Tumor Biology Section, Head and Neck Surgery Branch, National Institute of Deafness and Other Communication Disorders and 2 Biometrics Research Branch, National Cancer Institute, NIH, Bethesda, Maryland and 3 Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan
Requests for reprints: Carter Van Waes, Tumor Biology Section, Head and Neck Surgery Branch, National Institute of Deafness and Other Communication Disorders, 10 Center Drive, CRC Room 4-2732, Bethesda, MD 20892. Phone: 301-402-4216; Fax: 301-402-1140; E-mail: vanwaesc{at}nidcd.nih.gov.
| Abstract |
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B and secreted by tumor and stromal cells are detectable in serum of patients with advanced cancers, including head and neck squamous cell carcinomas (SCC). Longitudinal changes in these serum factors could be early biomarkers of treatment response and survival. Experimental Design: Interleukin (IL)-6, IL-8, growth-related oncogene-1 (GRO-1), vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), and hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) concentrations were determined by Luminex multiplex assay using serum obtained at baseline and every 3 months in a prospective study of 30 patients with locally advanced (stage III/IV) oropharyngeal SCC receiving chemoradiation therapy. The relationship between baseline and direction of change in individual and multiple cytokines with cause-specific and disease-free survival was determined by Cox proportional hazards models and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Statistical analyses included adjustment for smoking status and response to chemoradiation.
Results: Three-year cause-specific and disease-free survival was 74.4% and 68.9%. Nonsmoking history (P = 0.05) and higher baseline VEGF (P = 0.003) correlated with increased survival. Longitudinal increases in levels of individual factors predicted decreased cause-specific survival when adjusted for smoking history [IL-6: relative risk (RR), 3.8; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 2.0-7.4; P = 0.004; IL-8: RR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.2-2.2; P = 0.05; VEGF: RR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.6-5.6; P = 0.01; HGF: RR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.9-4.4; P = 0.02; and GRO-1: RR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.1-1.3; P = 0.02]. For a given individual, large increases in the upper quartile for any three or more factors predicted poorer cause-specific survival compared with patients with two or fewer large increases in factor levels (P = 0.004).
Conclusions: Pretreatment VEGF levels and longitudinal change in IL-6, IL-8, VEGF, HGF, and GRO-1 may be useful as biomarkers for response and survival in patients with locally advanced oropharyngeal and head and neck SCC treated with chemoradiation.
In head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) cell lines and/or tumor specimens, we previously detected increased expression of a repertoire of cytokines and growth factors, including interleukin (IL)-1, IL-6, IL8, growth-related oncogene-1 (GRO-1), granulocyte macrophage colony-stimulating factor, vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), and hepatocyte growth factor (HGF; refs. 57). Among these, increased concentrations of IL-6, IL-8, VEGF, HGF, and GRO-1 are detected in sera of patients with SCC when compared with control subjects (5, 712). Evidence indicates that these factors functionally contribute to the phenotype and pathogenicity of SCC and other cancers (2, 3, 7, 10, 11, 1317). Thus, the elevated concentration and functional importance makes them important candidates for evaluation as individual serum markers for HNSCC.
The frequent coexpression and elevation of several of these factors in serum suggested they could be coregulated by common underlying mechanism(s) and together serve as a biomarker panel. We showed that the coexpression of several of these cytokines and factors can be modulated, directly or indirectly, by aberrant activation of transcription factor nuclear factor-
B (NF-
B), in cooperation with other transcription factors in HNSCC (1820). Genetic or pharmacologic inhibition of NF-
B inhibited expression of IL-1
, IL-6, IL-8, GRO-1, and/or VEGF (1921) by HNSCC cells and tumorigenesis of xenografts in immunodeficient mice (19, 21). HGF was shown to be secreted by tumor-associated stromal fibroblasts in response to NF-
Bregulated cytokines IL-1
and IL-6 produced by HNSCC cells in vitro.4 NF-
B and proinflammatory cytokines may also be inducibly activated in epithelial cells by exposure to carcinogens in tobacco products (22, 23), indicating that smoking may contribute to coexpression of these factors during and after development of cancer.
Biomarkers that reflect functionally important molecular alterations are needed for patients with HNSCC and other cancers. Most patients with HNSCC present at advanced stage and many suffer significant morbidity and poor survival rates despite advances in multimodality and organ preservation therapies (2426). Tumor, nodal staging, and clinical response in patients with such advanced disease do not adequately predict survival, particularly in individual patients. We previously observed an increase or decrease in concentration of IL-6, IL-8, VEGF, HGF, and GRO-1 in posttreatment serum corresponding to tumor progression or reduction in patients treated with chemotherapy and radiation (8). These observations suggested that longitudinal monitoring of one or a panel of these NF-
Brelated factors could potentially serve as serum markers of response, relapse, and survival.
In the present prospective study, we determined concentrations of NF-
Bmodulated factors IL-6, IL-8, GRO-1, VEGF, and HGF in baseline and posttreatment serum samples collected at 3-month intervals during the first year from a group of 30 patients with local-regionally advanced oropharyngeal SCC, who were treated with chemotherapy and radiation. The potential relationship of tumor stage, smoking status, and pretreatment and posttreatment longitudinal changes in cytokines with cause-specific and disease-free survival was evaluated.
| Materials and Methods |
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Serum cytokine analysis. Peripheral blood samples (30 mL) were collected using routine venipuncture technique before treatment and at 3, 6, 9, and 12 months after treatment. Sera were collected after centrifugation of blood and stored in 0.5 mL aliquots at 80°C until testing. To ensure patient confidentiality and to blind laboratory personnel, all serum samples were immediately barcoded and assigned a numerical identifier before being stored in the University of Michigan Specialized Program of Research Excellence Tissue Core.
Serum samples were analyzed using the Luminex 100 instrument. Individual bead kits for IL-6, IL-8, VEGF, HGF, and GRO-1 were purchased from Biosource (Invitrogen). Lyophilized standards were chosen from individual bead kits to include but not replicate all five cytokines and were reconstituted with assay diluent using serial 1:3 dilution. Incubations were done on a microtiter plate shaker (Fisher) at 550 rpm. Filtration after incubations was done with a vacuum filtration manifold (Millipore).
Serum cytokine concentrations for all samples from individual patients were determined in the same assay to minimize interassay variability. Samples were thawed on ice, homogenized, and centrifuged at 14,000 rpm (10 min) to clear residual cellular debris. After prewetting a 96-well filter bottom plate, 25 µL of bead mixture and 50 µL of incubation buffer were added to each well. Each of the seven standards (100 µL each) and a blank were run in duplicate. Each patient serum sample was run in triplicate (1:2 dilution in assay diluent) and incubated for 2 h. After washing, biotinylated detector antibody was added (100 µL/well) and incubated for 1 h. Following additional washes, 100 µL of a streptavidin-R-phycoerythrin solution were added and incubated for 30 min. Final washes were done before suspending bead mixtures in 100 µL/well wash solution. Plates were read by the Luminex cytometer after cleansing and calibration of the instrument.
The instrument was programmed to not extrapolate cytokine values below the standard curve; therefore, the most dilute standard represents the lower limit of detection for each cytokine. Lower limits of detection for each cytokine are as follows: IL-6, 6 pg/mL; IL-8, 5.9 pg/mL; VEGF, 14.3 pg/mL; HGF, 5.3 pg/mL; and GRO-1, 13.7 pg/mL. Internal controls were done using known concentrations of recombinant protein for each cytokine.
Statistical analyses. The mean cytokine concentrations determined from triplicate assay values were used. All cytokine concentration measurements were log transformed (log10), resulting in symmetrical distributions that were nearly normally distributed. Consistent with common practice, we imputed values of one half the lower limit when values were below the level of detection for a given cytokine. The relationship between dichotomized tumor and nodal characteristics (T stage, N stage), smoking status, and survival was assessed using log-rank tests. We examined the relationship between baseline cytokine measurements and survival using Cox proportional hazards models, treating the cytokine measurements as continuous variables. To examine the relationship between longitudinal changes in cytokines and survival, we estimated a slope for each cytokine on every patient by fitting a least-squares regression line to longitudinal log-transformed cytokine measurements and examined the relationship between changes in these slopes and survival using a Cox proportional hazards model. To assess differences in survival between patients with three or more large longitudinal cytokine increases and those with two or fewer large increases, we used log-rank tests. These analyses were done without and with adjustment for smoking history. Kaplan-Meier curves were constructed to assess cause-specific overall and disease-free survival and relationship between cytokines and survival. All statistical tests are two sided. All analyses were done using SPLUS v7.0 software (Insightful Corp.).
| Results |
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Patient clinical outcomes. Based on clinical evaluation during the first year of follow-up, 25 of 30 patients (83%) had a complete response to therapy. Five (17%) patients progressed and died of their malignancy; one died before the 3-month follow-up, one died before 6 months, one died before 12 months, and two died 16 months after initial presentation. Of the 25 patients that had a complete response to therapy, 4 (16%) developed a recurrence. One patient with a complete response died within 6 months of an unrelated cause. Based on this, we evaluated cause-specific survival rather than overall survival. Figure 1 displays Kaplan-Meier survival curves illustrating a 3-year cause-specific overall survival rate of 74.4% (Fig. 1A) and a 3-year disease-free survival rate of 68.9% (Fig. 1B).
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Because we observed that changes in three or more of these factors are often observed together with response or progression (Fig. 3A and B
), and have previously shown that expression of these cytokines in serum may be linked together by activation of transcription factors NF-
B in HNSCC (1821), such cytokine signatures could have combined pathologic effects that contribute to poor patient outcomes. We thus hypothesized that an individual patient with longitudinal changes in three or more cytokines could predict survival. To examine this possibility, we defined any slope above the upper quartile (across patients) as a large change for each cytokine and determined differences in cause-specific survival between patients with three or more large cytokine slopes and patients with two or fewer large slopes. Figure 3A shows a Kaplan-Meier plot illustrating poorer survival in patients who showed large slopes for three or more cytokines (P = 0.004, log-rank test), with a calculated RR of death of 2.2 (P = 0.01) when adjusted for positive smoking history.
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| Discussion |
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B and proinflammatory cytokines by tobacco products (22, 23). After adjustment for smoking history, large increases in serum IL-6, VEGF, and HGF concentrations (upper quartile compared with the lower quartile) over time still conferred a 3.8-, 3.0-, and 2.9-fold RR of death, respectively. Furthermore, we observed that patients who had large increases in three or more in any of their longitudinal factor levels (defined as above the upper quartile across the population) had worse clinical outcomes than patients with large increase in two or fewer large factors, imparting a 2.2-fold RR of death after adjustment for smoking history. The finding that increasing levels in serum of three or more NF-
Bmodulated factors are associated with progression and decreased survival is consistent with previous studies by us and others, implicating constitutive NF-
B activation and cytokine factors in pathogenicity and radiation resistance of HNSCC and other cancers (2729). The finding that increase in individual or multiple serum factors is associated with decreased response, recurrence, and death during the first year after treatment suggests that longitudinal monitoring of these cytokines could be a useful adjunct to clinical monitoring and imaging during a time when surgical salvage and adjuvant therapy is still possible.
This is the largest and most definitive study in patients with HNSCC or any subsite that shows a statistical relationship between longitudinal changes in serum cytokines individually, or as a NF-
Brelated panel in any cancer type, with cause-specific and disease-free survival. Uchida et al. (30) observed decreased longitudinal HGF levels in six patients with oral SCC who had a complete response. In our previous pilot study of 21 patients with HNSCC from different subsites (8), we found evidence for a statistically significant relationship between longitudinal decreases in IL-6 and HGF levels and overall survival, whereas decreases in IL-8 and VEGF only approached significance. In the current study, we found that changes in all four of these cytokines were significantly related to cause-specific survival, after addressing many of the limitations of the previous study, which included retrospective analysis, differences in site of tumor origin, treatment modality, limited sample of patients with posttreatment serum, variability in the intervals of sampling, and an insufficient numbers of smokers relative to nonsmokers to analyze the potential effects of smoking on outcome.
The relationship between elevated baseline serum VEGF and improved survival was unexpected, given the role of this cytokine in tumor angiogenesis (2). Shang et al. (31) observed a positive correlation between increased baseline serum VEGF and the rate of cervical metastasis and clinical stage in patients with oral SCC. Further, VEGF itself has been reported to promote radioresistance rather than radiosensitization through protection of tumor neovasculature from cytotoxic effects of radiation (32). However, we observed a similar disparity between baseline VEGF and outcome in a previous study between patients with laryngeal cancer randomized to surgery and chemoradiation therapy (11). Although higher baseline serum VEGF correlated with poorer overall survival in patients with advanced laryngeal SCC, when the two arms of this study were analyzed individually, higher VEGF levels significantly correlated with poor prognosis in the surgery arm but not in the chemoradiotherapy arm. A possible explanation for a relationship between high baseline VEGF and increased survival could be greater dependence in these tumors of expression of VEGF by a NF-
Bindependent mechanism(s) that does not confer the same radioprotective effects as NF-
B. Consistent with this possibility, we have observed differences in the relative activation and contribution of transcription factors NF-
B and activator protein-1 to IL-8 and VEGF expression in HNSCC lines that differ in radiosensitivity (20, 28). Another transcription factor, Sp1, and translational factor, hypoxia-inducible factor-1
, have also been implicated in regulation of VEGF expression and radiosensitivity (33). Hypoxia-induced hypoxia-inducible factor-1
may be more likely to contribute to expression of VEGF in advanced stage III/IV tumors in our series (Table 1), as Winter et al. (34, 35) have shown that increased hypoxia-inducible factor-1
expression is associated with stage III/IV disease in specimens of patients with HNSCC undergoing surgery. It is important to note that, of patients with higher baseline VEGF levels, 11 of 12 (92%) showed decreased longitudinal VEGF levels with treatment, consistent with our other finding that longitudinal decrease in VEGF also represents a predictor of response of oropharyngeal SCC to chemoradiation therapy. Examination of the potential relationship of serum VEGF levels to response and survival and to NF-
Bindependent mechanism(s) in tumor in a larger series of patients could validate if high baseline VEGF and other mechanisms, such as hypoxia-inducible factor-1
, represent independent biomarkers for selection for chemoradiation therapy.
Although the changes in serum cytokines overall and in most of our patients individually corresponded with tumor response to therapy, there were a few patients with increases in serum cytokines that were nonspecific for HNSCC. One patient showed increased cytokines at the time of diagnosis of recurrence of a salivary neoplasm. One patient developed an aspiration pneumonitis accompanied by sharp increases in several cytokines; however, all cytokine levels returned to preinfection levels by the next follow-up visit. One patient showed increases in four of five cytokines at the 12-month follow-up but has had no identifiable cause and remains clinically disease-free. Two additional patients showed transient spikes at the 6-month collection point and, on further chart reviews, were found to have had these blood samples obtained at the time of a biopsy procedure, consistent with a possible stress response. Consequently, sampling should be done before procedures that could induce increased serum factor levels, and longitudinal increases in individual or multiple serum cytokine in individual patients merit investigation for neoplastic, other inflammatory conditions, or complications.
The finding that longitudinal changes in the panel of cytokines and factors investigated in this study may have broader application for cancer detection, as elevated serum levels of one or more of the factors IL-6, IL-8, VEGF, and HGF have been detected in serum of patients with other types type of cancer, including nonsmall cell lung, breast, cervical, ovarian, gastric, and bladder carcinomas and melanoma (3645). Delayed increase in levels of one or more of these factors after complete clinical response of SCC was observed in one patient in our previous study who developed a second primary lung cancer (8) and in the patient in this study who developed a recurrent pleomorphic sarcoma.
Our study and that of Hathaway et al. (46) have shown that multiplex technologies, such as Luminex, can provide profiles and quantitation of specific soluble protein factors, which are implicated in pathogenesis of HNSCC from patient sera. When combined with clinical evaluation, measuring NF-
Brelated serum cytokines may be useful to monitor tumor response to therapy, influence threshold of suspicion for treatment failure, and ultimately lead to earlier intervention and improved patient outcomes.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact.
Received 12/22/06; revised 2/22/07; accepted 3/ 8/07.
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