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Imaging, Diagnosis, Prognosis |
Authors' Affiliations: 1 Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Klinikum rechts der Isar, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany; 2 NCS Research Demokritos, National University of Athens, Athens, Greece; 3 Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Mount Sinai Hospital; 4 Department of Clinical Biochemistry, University Health Network and Toronto Medical Laboratories; and 5 Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Requests for reprints: Nadia Harbeck, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Klinikum rechts der Isar, Technical University of Munich, Ismaninger Strasse 22, D-81675 Munich, Germany. Phone: 49-89-4140-6658; Fax: 49-89-4140-4846; E-mail: nadia.harbeck{at}lrz.tum.de.
| Abstract |
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Results: After radical surgery, absence of macroscopically visible residual tumor (RT) was achieved in 72 patients; all patients received postoperative platinum-containing chemotherapy. Significant univariate predictors of poor progression-free survival (PFS) were RT (>0), FIGO stages (III/IV versus I/II/III), ascites volume >500 mL, nodal status, and the difference between PAI-1 and uPA (fractionally ranked). In multivariate analysis, significant independent factors for poor PFS were RT [hazard ratio (HR), 4.53] and low hK11 fractional rank (HR, 0.30). Univariate predictors of poor overall survival were RT, FIGO stages, nodal status, ascites volume, nuclear grade, and low hK10 and hK13. In multivariate analysis, significant independent factors for poor overall survival were RT (HR, 7.49), ascites (HR, 1.97), and low hK10 (HR, 0.196). We constructed a multivariate scoring model estimating RT probability, based on ascites [odds ratio (OR), 13.1], nuclear grade (OR, 2.92), hK6 (OR, 8.54), and hK13 (OR, 0.14), with good in-sample predictive performance (area under receiver operating characteristic, 0.833).
Conclusions: In view of risks and benefits of radical surgery, such a score could support preoperative risk stratification and identify candidates for alternative therapeutic strategies. These results highlight the distinct roles of the hKs for different disease end points in ovarian cancer and their potential to support individualized therapy decisions.
3% mortality, and two thirds eventually suffer recurrence and death anyway. Incorporating tumor-associated biomarkers into selection of candidates for novel primary clinical therapy approaches could improve survival or at least reduce needless morbidity. Conceivable options enabled by better primary scoring might include preoperative (neoadjuvant) chemotherapy or a second-effort surgical approach after incomplete primary surgery. Numerous studies have focused on improved understanding of the underlying tumor biology in ovarian cancer. Tumor proteases, especially urokinase-type plasminogen activator (uPA), a serine protease, and its inhibitor PAI-1, may play a key role in invasion and metastasis, because both uPA and PAI-1 antigen levels are elevated in ovarian cancer tissue compared with benign ovarian tumors (13). Moreover, uPA and PAI-1 are strong prognostic markers in advanced ovarian cancer (2, 4), especially in patients without residual tumor (RT) mass.
Evidence for involvement of the tissue kallikrein serine protease family in ovarian cancer spread is emerging. The tissue kallikrein family genes are clustered (5) on chromosome 19q13.4. Thus far, 15 human tissue kallikrein (hK) protease proteins have been identified. In ovarian cancer tissue, hK4-8, hK10, hK11, hK13, and hK15 are differentially expressed at mRNA and protein levels (6). Some tissue kallikrein proteins (hK5, hK6, hK8, hK10, and hK11) seem to be useful serum diagnostic markers in ovarian cancer with complementary value to that of the tumor marker CA125 (7). Serum hK6 protein levels decrease in 68% of patients after surgery (8); hK10 is elevated in serum of ovarian cancer patients, but not in patients with benign gynecologic diseases. High hK10 in serum has been associated with late-stage, advanced-grade, suboptimal tumor debulking as well as shorter progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS; ref. 9). In ovarian cancer tissue extracts, hK5, hK6, hK7, and hK10 have been reported as markers of poor prognosis: hK5 is significantly elevated in ovarian cancer cytosols, compared with low-malignant-potential tumors. Higher hK5 levels are associated with advanced disease and significantly shorter PFS and OS (10), whereas high levels of hK8, hK11, and hK13 are associated with less aggressive and less advanced disease (5, 11). hK11-positive tumors were associated with early stage and low tumor grade; high tumor levels of hK11 and hK13 imply longer PFS and OS (12, 13). Besides their prognostic effect, elevated hK10 and hK13 have been associated with optimal debulking (9, 13), and elevated hK11 has been associated with response to chemotherapy (14).
Despite this emerging evidence for their role in disease processes, there is no clear basis yet for incorporating these proteolytic factors into evidence-based decision criteria in ovarian cancer. Key steps are to assess their relative and combined effects on surgical success and survival in a homogeneous, representative patient cohort, to determine which factors are essential for improving the quality of existing models, and to construct multivariate models suitable for future validation and clinical decision support. This article evaluates the clinical effect of seven tissue kallikreins (hK5, hK6, hK7, hK8, hK10, hK11, and hK13) as well as that of uPA and PAI-1 in extracts of tumor tissue samples obtained from primary ovarian cancer patients; the results are translated into clinically applicable, multivariate scoring models for surgical success and survival, including both established clinical variables and proteolytic factors. The goal of combining all this information is to support better clinical decisions and ultimately to improve both survival and quality of life for patients.
| Materials and Methods |
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Determination of antigen levels of uPA, PAI-1, and tissue kallikreins in ovarian cancer tissue extracts. Protein concentrations of the extracted tissue specimens were determined using the BCA Protein Assay reagent kit (Pierce, Rockford, IL). Antigen levels of the proteolytic factors uPA, its inhibitor PAI-1, and seven tissue kallikreins (hK5, hK6, hK7, hK8, hK10, hK11, hK13) were determined by ELISA in primary ovarian cancer tissue extracts. uPA and PAI-1 antigen levels were measured using ELISA kit Imubind #894 and #821 (American Diagnostica, Inc., Stamford, CT), as described previously (16). Antigen concentrations of hK proteins were quantified by using highly sensitive and specific sandwich-type, in-house immunoassays (17). Capture antibodies were generated by immunizing mice with recombinant hK protein (monoclonal for hK5, hK11, and hK13; polyclonal for hK6, hK7, hK8, and hK10), detection antibodies by immunizing rabbits (all polyclonal). Lower and upper detection limits were 0.1 to 50 ng/mL for hK5 (18), 0.5 to 200 ng/mL for hK6 (19), 0.2 to 10 ng/mL for hK7 (20), 0.2 to 20 ng/mL for hK8 (21), 0.05 to 10 ng/mL for hK10 (22), 0.1 to 50 ng/mL for hK11 (12), and 0.05 to 20 ng/mL for hK13 (23). No cross-reactivity of any of the hK-ELISAs with other members of the hK family was detected. Analyte levels measured in the extracts were expressed in nanograms of analyte per milligram of protein.
Statistical methods. Outcome variables were PFS, OS, and RT presence, defined as one if macroscopic RT mass was visible and zero if completely absent. Ascites volume, age, nuclear grade, and nodal status were coded as binary variables (ascites >500 mL versus less; age >60 years versus younger; nuclear grade, G3 versus G1/G2; nodal status 0 for N0, otherwise 1). FIGO status was coded by three binary indicators: II/III/IV versus I, III/IV versus I/II, and IV versus I/II/III.
In view of their long-tailed distributions (Table 2 ), all antigen levels (uPA, PAI-1, and the tissue kallikreins) were coded as fractional population ranks. The fractional rank difference between PAI-1 and uPA was also coded and considered as a separate indicator. Mann-Whitney or Kruskal-Wallis tests were computed for associations between continuous and categorical variables. The effects of the different factors on PFS and OS were expressed as hazard ratios (HR) with respect to the above coding and were estimated by Cox proportional hazards regression using forward selection. Univariate and multivariate Cox models were estimated including clinical factors and fractionally ranked antigen levels, entered as continuous variables. Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank statistics were also computed.
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| Results |
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Quantitative assessment of uPA, PAI-1, and tissue kallikreins. Table 2 summarizes the antigen distributions for uPA, PAI-1, and the seven tissue kallikreins (hK5, hK6, hK7, hK8, hK10, hK11, hK13). All are long-tailed, as illustrated by the mean, median, and selected percentile values. Table 2 also shows the number of patients for which each tissue kallikrein was not present above the limits of detection. In all of the tissue extracts examined, uPA antigen was detected; PAI-1 was detected in all but one sample.
There is no significant difference in any antigen levels between early (FIGO I/II) or advanced (FIGO III/IV) stages except for hK5 (P = 0.007); higher fractionally ranked hK5 predicts FIGO stage III/IV versus I/II with OR 7.75 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 1.7-35.5]. Similarly, of the antigens, only hK5 was significantly associated (P = 0.004) with nuclear grade (higher hK5 implying a tendency to poorer grade).
Progression-free survival. Among the clinical variables entered into Cox models for PFS in all patients (Table 3 ), univariate predictors were RT, ascites volume, nodal status, FIGO III/IV versus I/II, and FIGO IV versus I/II/III. Among the proteolytic factors, hK11 had borderline significance, with high values being favorable (HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.19-1.02; P = 0.055). It was significant in G2/G3 patients (HR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.17-0.96; P = 0.039, not shown). The fractional rank difference between PAI-1 and uPA had significant univariate effect (HR, 1.98; 95% CI, 1.01-3.89; P = 0.046) on PFS. This difference was also significant and a bit stronger in the subgroup of patients with RT (HR, 2.86; 95% CI, 1.19-6.84; P = 0.018, not shown) but not in the optimally debulked subgroup.
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0.55. Overall survival. For OS in all patients (Table 4 ), univariate predictors were RT, FIGO stages nodal status, ascites volume, nuclear grade, as well as hK10 and hK13. The clinical factors, RT (HR, 7.49) and ascites volume (HR, 1.97), but not FIGO stage, as well as antigen hK10 (HR, 0.196) enter multivariate OS model.
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| Discussion |
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In both univariate and multivariate analysis, RT was a decisive (unfavorable) clinical determinant of PFS and OS, in accordance with a meta-analysis (25).
In univariate analysis (PFS), aside from RT, ascites volume and nodal status were significant clinical variables; the fractional rank difference of PAI-1 and uPA (i.e., high PAI-1 compared with uPA) was significant for poor PFS; hK11 was of borderline significance; none of the other proteolytic factors was significant. In multivariate analysis (PFS), hK11 was the only statistically significant biomarker, taking RT into account. Elevated hK11 tumor antigen levels were associated with prolonged PFS.
In previous studies, the effect of hK11 in ovarian cancer depended on whether protein or mRNA levels were considered: KLK11 mRNA expression levels were associated with poor survival in ovarian cancer (26). However, in agreement with our findings, elevated tissue hK11 antigen levels determined by a similar ELISA were favorable for PFS (14).
Our group previously found that uPA and PAI-1 are significant prognostic factors regarding OS in FIGO IIIC ovarian cancer. Although uPA was univariately significant, its effect was not seen in multivariate analysis; the effect of PAI-1 was time varying and more pronounced within the first 2 years (2). In the present collective, high PAI-1 compared with uPA was significantly associated with poor PFS, particularly in the subgroup of patients with RT. These results taken together suggest that PAI-1 and uPA could play important but distinct roles in the complex process of tumor invasion. Additionally (aside from the 41 patients in common), the patients in the present collective were treated more recently, in particular applying a revised chemotherapy standard (carboplatin/paclitaxel as opposed to the earlier carboplatin/cyclophosphamide). If uPA and/or PAI-1 were associated with response to carboplatin/paclitaxel therapy, this "predictive" association could have modified their apparent "prognostic" significance. This hypothesis, although not previously discussed with respect to uPA and PAI-1 in ovarian cancer, is reminiscent of the situation in breast cancer (27).
In multivariate analysis, low hK10 levels, RT, and ascites volume were independently associated with poor OS. It is noteworthy that although high hK13 was a good univariate predictor of improved OS, it was not significant in the multivariate model upon inclusion of RT; hence, the univariate effect may be partly attributable to its ability to predict absence of RT mass. In contrast, elevated hK10 is an even stronger predictor of favorable OS in a multivariate model that includes RT than in univariate analysis of OS. These findings seem consistent with hK10 down-regulation during tumor progression in nude mice inoculated with breast or prostate cancer cell lines (28, 29).
Unfavorable outcome in FIGO III/IV ovarian cancer was reported to be associated with hK10 tissue levels (30) exceeding a cutoff; however, hK10 was neither significant as a continuous variable nor in multivariate analysis including all FIGO I-IV patients. In view of the still unresolved underlying biological complexity, a nonmonotonic relationship between hK10 and tumor aggressiveness cannot be ruled out. The partly discrepant results in the literature indicate that the existing data on the diagnostic and prognostic role of hKs in ovarian cancer merit further investigation. Differences in patient selection, treatment, determination methods, and use of optimal cutoffs could be relevant.
Because chemotherapy (platinum compounds ± taxane) was rather homogeneously administered to our primary ovarian cancer patients, the observed effect of tumor biological factors on survival (PFS, OS) reflects a superposition of their biological role in the natural course of disease and their influence on therapy response: The observed survival effect of a factor could be modified or masked by a predictive component with respect to therapy response. However, because ovarian cancer spreading is primarily locoregional, factors for tumor aggressiveness are reflected not only in survival but also already in the tumor burden within the abdominal cavity. Hence, studying relationships between tumor-associated factors and probability of surgical success reveals key information on localized tumor aggressiveness free of confounding effects of therapy response. Moreover, because completeness of cytoreductive surgery is a key determinant of outcome, preoperative determination of factors influencing surgical success may be helpful in individualizing treatment of ovarian cancer, for example, selection of patients for second surgical approach after incomplete primary surgery or for administration of preoperative chemotherapy.
Despite recent improvements, ovarian cancer mortality remains high. FIGO reports 5-year survival of 28.9% for FIGO IIIC and 13.4% for FIGO IV (31).
Survival in advanced ovarian cancer is better for patients without macroscopic RT after primary surgery compared with patients with RT (25, 32, 33). However, radical tumor resection may cause considerable morbidity (e.g., postoperative subileus, relaparotomy due to anastomosis defects, cardiorespiratory failure, thromboembolism, sepsis, or lymphoceles). Systematic lymph node dissectiona recommended procedure when optimal debulking seems achievableby itself often causes significantly higher blood loss and consecutive transfusion rates compared with surgery without radical lymphadenectomy (34). Our overall morbidity rate after advanced ovarian cancer surgery is
40%, but radical surgery may lead to up to 80% morbidity (35). High morbidity is certainly acceptable if optimal debulking with its attendant survival advantage can be achieved; however, it must be viewed critically for patients in whom optimal debulking was not achievable and who thus have a short remaining life expectancy.
To estimate risks and benefits of surgical interventions preoperatively, clinical or biological factors are urgently needed that could more accurately predict individual debulking success. In ovarian cancer, tumor biological processes may strongly affect the degree of diffusion and dissemination of tumor cells within the abdominal cavity and hence influence the chance for surgical success. Indeed, in our study, besides large ascites volume and high nuclear grade, high hK5 univariately predicted poor surgical success. Moreover, in multivariate analysis, besides favorable grade and low ascites volume, low hK6 and high hK13 predicted surgical success. We previously described the predictive effect of preoperative ascites for surgical outcome in FIGO IIIc ovarian cancer (2). Regarding hKs, there is limited information regarding their effect on surgical success: For elevated hK10, a significant association with large RT was reported (30); for hK11, a significant correlation with response to chemotherapy, but not with surgical outcome was observed (14).
Using a logistic regression model, we have now obtained a score (RT score) based on hK6, hK13, ascites volume, and nuclear grade that predicted surgical outcome with good performance (area under ROC, 0.833). Such a score could be calculated before definitive surgery: preoperative ascitic fluid volume is easily estimated by ultrasound; tumor biopsies can be obtained for tissue analysis. The score could support preoperative risk stratification: In patients with considerable comorbidity, a favorable RT score would reinforce the decision for radical surgery, whereas an unfavorable RT score might indicate an alternative therapeutic approach, such as preoperative chemotherapy. Up to now, preoperative chemotherapy is not a standard of care in the management of ovarian cancer. But recruitment of the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer protocol 55971 comparing upfront debulking surgery versus neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with stage IIIc or IV epithelial ovarian cancer in a randomized phase III trial is almost completed. This trial will elucidate whether neoadjuvant chemotherapy is an alternative approach with the same outcome compared with the standard procedure, upfront surgery (36, 37). Thus far, no reliable parameters exist to predict which patients are likely to benefit from preoperative chemotherapy. In a pilot study, we showed that patients with large ascites volume who received preoperative chemotherapy followed by radical surgery had less RT at time of definitive surgery and a substantial survival advantage over comparable patients receiving chemotherapy after surgery (38). A predictive score combining tumor biological with clinical informationin our case using tissue kallikreins hK6, hK13, ascites volume, and nuclear grademay thus help to identify suitable candidates for preoperative chemotherapy. It would be useful to test the validity of the predictive score by prospective measurement of these factors in a study using current treatment guidelines. With a validated scoring model for surgical success in ovarian cancer, the next step would then be to conduct a clinical trial designed to test whether patients benefit from treatment strategies that incorporate the new scoring information.
In conclusion, our study shows that some of the hKs are significant independent prognostic and predictive markers in ovarian cancer. Their role in disease progression is evidently complex, as different tissue kallikreins have a strong effect for different disease end points. Nevertheless, they have the potential to support clinical therapy decisions.
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The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact.
Received 10/13/06; revised 12/ 1/06; accepted 12/18/06.
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